How to Predict a Soccer Match

Predicting soccer results has become a rapidly growing topic among the people interested to know the outcome of a particular match. The big events like FIFA attract millions of fans around the world, making it one of the most watched and played sport of all time. With great viewership comes a great chance for people to bet on the results too.
Soccer prediction and betting is getting very common among the fans now. Many kinds of bets are made like predicting the outcome of the match, man of the match, which player will score first, and the winning margin. A certain analysis is done on the match and then betting is done. The gamblers do a complete analysis on the team’s abilities, the coach’s records, and whether a certain player is playing or not.
There are many methods used to predict a match. However, the game soccer is full of surprises and unexpected results. If it was that easy to predict a match, no one would watch it. But some scientists claim that soccer is a very predictable match in terms of statistics. Many people and teams claim that they can predict the outcome of a match, but in reality, there is not surety of the result. You never know when a player will get the opportunity and luckily smash a goal. This is all based on fortune and nothing else. However, there are some methods used for cricket match prediction which we will discuss briefly in this article.
Statistical football prediction is one of the methods through which the outcome of a football match is predicted in statistical terms. This is done by ranking the teams. The ranking is done according to the past performance of the team and the team with the highest ranking is considered to be the strongest. However, there are some drawbacks to this method too as every team has different attacking and defending strengths which can’t be predicted from their rankings. Plus, there can be skill changes in the team too.
The other method used to predict is the simulation method. Team ratings are created based on the teams’ goals, expected goals, and total shots ratios. Graphs are made to show the actual and projected points. The projected results have also been matched with the actual results to see what projection worked the best. If the projections are good, a simple linear relationship is formed.
One of the methods used for prediction is the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). It has 13 inputs, 3 neurons and a single output. The 13 inputs involve last 5 matches from team 1, last 5 matches from team 2 and last 3 encounters between team 1 and team 2. A win for a particular team will be assigned as 1 and a loss will be assigned as -1, whereas a draw will credited as 0.
However, there are some matches that are still incorrectly predicted. This is not due to the prediction method but because of the factors that influence the match during the game. For example, a wrong referee decision may change the whole outcome of the match.